The Golden State Warriors have covered three of the four spreads in an NBA playoff second-round series with San Antonio.
The money movement prior to Tuesday’s Game 5 is in favor of the Warriors, who opened as eight-point road underdogs and are now seven-point underdogs.
What does that mean?
The betting public is easily swayed by previous results.
Money moved on the Spurs for the first game of the series, but the Warriors covered. That caused the money to switch to the Warriors for Game 2, which they covered. Bettors continued to like the Warriors for Game 3, which they did not cover, causing bettors to wrongly favor the Spurs in Game 4.
Now, the wishy-washy bettors are back on the Warriors.
No other NBA series is the slightest bit appealing, but the Spurs and Warriors are fascinating. Good basketball is being played on both sides, which is more than can be said for the tackle fest that is the series between Miami and Chicago.
The Spurs dominated the early going in Sunday’s loss and seemed in such complete control that I turned the channel. I tuned back in just in time to watch the Warriors claw back into the game, force overtime and win.
My head was shaking and my jaw was on the floor.
There are plenty of good things to say about the Warriors, but I’ll save those for another post. They are no match for the Spurs on paper or in real life.
The Spurs remain the proper bet in each game of this series. Now, if only the proper bet would actually start winning.